Eredivisie | Gameweek 29

Apr 13, 2025 at 1.30pm UK

Erve Asito

Heracles
1 - 0
AZ

Hornkamp (47')
Bruns (17'), Bruijn (84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 0-0 Heracles
Sunday, April 6 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: AZ 0-1 Feyenoord
Saturday, April 5 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 53.43%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 24% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Heracles	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
24% ( -0.29)	22.57% ( -0.04)	53.43% ( 0.33)

Both teams to score 58.7% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.9% (

-0.14)

41.1% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.5% (

-0.14)

63.5% (

0.15)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.39% (

-0.32)

30.61% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.15% (

-0.38)

66.85% (

0.38)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.6% (

0.06)

15.4% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.79% (

0.11)

44.21% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Heracles 24%

AZ Alkmaar 53.43%

Draw 22.57%

Heracles	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.91% Total : 24%	1-1 @ 10.44% 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.57%	1-2 @ 9.77% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 8.25% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 6.09% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 5.14% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.85% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.41% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.75% Total : 53.43%