Eredivisie | Gameweek 27

Mar 30, 2025 at 1.30pm UK

Erve Asito

Heracles
2 - 1
FC Twente

Hornkamp (9', 76')
Scheperman (27'), Mesik (30'), Bruns (30'), Mirani (40'), Wieckhoff (74')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ltaief (90')
Lagerbielke (22'), Verschueren (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Heerenveen 1-1 Heracles
Saturday, March 15 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

FC Twente

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: FC Twente 2-6 Feyenoord
Sunday, March 16 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 50.3%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.45%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Heracles	Draw	FC Twente
27.29% ( 0.14)	22.41% ( 0.06)	50.3% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 62.73% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.7% (

-0.16)

37.3% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.49% (

-0.18)

59.51% (

0.18)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.89% (

0.01)

26.1% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.84% (

0.02)

61.16% (

-0.02)

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.89% (

-0.13)

15.1% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.34% (

-0.24)

43.65% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Heracles 27.29%

FC Twente 50.3%

Draw 22.4%

Heracles	Draw	FC Twente
2-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.84% 3-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.3% Total : 27.29%	1-1 @ 10% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.4%	1-2 @ 9.46% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.96% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 4% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.82% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.07% Total : 50.3%