Championship

Championship | Gameweek 44

Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
6 - 0
Stoke

Piroe (6', 8', 20', 41'), Firpo (26'), Gnonto (59')
Ampadu (17')

FT(HT: 5-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Leeds
Friday, April 18 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Stoke City

All competitions

Last Game: Stoke 2-0 Sheff Weds
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 78.67%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 7.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.33%) and 1-0 (10.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.72%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (2.63%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Stoke City
78.67% ( 0.14)	14.12% ( -0.06)	7.21% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 43.82% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62% (

-0.04)

38% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.73% (

-0.04)

60.27% (

0.04)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.23% (

0.02)

7.77% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.38% (

0.05)

27.62% (

-0.05)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.51% (

-0.23)

52.49% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.67% (

-0.15)

86.33% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Leeds United 78.66%

Stoke City 7.21%

Draw 14.12%

Leeds United	Draw	Stoke City
2-0 @ 13.31% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 10.42% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 4.67% ( -0) 5-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 3.27% Total : 78.66%	1-1 @ 6.72% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.56% Total : 14.12%	0-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.42% Total : 7.21%