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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Stoke logo

Leeds
6 - 0
Stoke

Piroe (6', 8', 20', 41'), Firpo (26'), Gnonto (59')
Ampadu (17')
FT(HT: 5-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Leeds
Friday, April 18 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 2-0 Sheff Weds
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-0 Stoke City

Looking to make it four wins on the spin in the Championship, Leeds will be extremely confident of earning a victory which could take them back to the Premier League. Stoke's second-tier status is all-but secure following Friday's beating of Sheffield Wednesday, with the relaxed Potters likely to be the latest victims of Farke's men in Yorkshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 78.67%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 7.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.33%) and 1-0 (10.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.72%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (2.63%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawStoke City
78.67% (0.13500000000001 0.14) 14.12% (-0.057 -0.06) 7.21% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 43.82% (-0.204 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)38% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.73% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)60.27% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.23% (0.024000000000001 0.02)7.77% (-0.0189 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.38% (0.054000000000002 0.05)27.62% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.51% (-0.23 -0.23)52.49% (0.235 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.67% (-0.149 -0.15)86.33% (0.15499999999999 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 78.66%
    Stoke City 7.21%
    Draw 14.12%
Leeds UnitedDrawStoke City
2-0 @ 13.31% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-0 @ 11.33% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-0 @ 10.42% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.58% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.31% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 7.24% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
4-1 @ 4.67% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
5-0 @ 3.7% (0.026 0.03)
5-1 @ 2.39%
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.021 -0.02)
6-0 @ 1.58% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.012 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 78.66%
1-1 @ 6.72% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.08% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.77% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 14.12%
0-1 @ 2.63% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 2.16% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 7.21%

How you voted: Leeds vs Stoke

Leeds United
80.8%
Draw
13.7%
Stoke City
5.5%
73
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 23
Stoke
0-2
Leeds

Famiwuya (38'), Tchamadeu (45+2'), Wilmot (51'), Cannon (60')
Piroe (42', 63')
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Leeds
1-0
Stoke
James (33')
Gruev (90+5')

Laurent (37'), Pearson (69')
Pearson (86')
Oct 25, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Stoke
1-0
Leeds
Struijk (80' og.)
Thompson (62')

Gnonto (68'), Rutter (78'), Summerville (90+2')
Sep 1, 2020 1pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Stoke
3-0
Leeds
Collins (1'), Gregory (2'), Ince (3')
Jul 9, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 42
Leeds
5-0
Stoke
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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