Championship Gameweek 43
Stoke
Apr 18, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Bet365 Stadium
Sheff Weds
  • Ben Pearson 2' yellowcard
  • Million Manhoef 21' goal
  • Ben Wilmot 53' yellowcard
  • Ben Wilmot 61' goal
  • yellowcard Dominic Iorfa 3'
  • yellowcard Barry Bannan 66'

Stoke City vs Sheffield Wednesday - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
Cardiff 0 - 1 Stoke
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Tom Cannon

Sheffield Wednesday

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
Sheff Weds 0 - 1 Oxford Utd
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Josh Windass

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result

Stoke City 40.3% ▼ (-0.49)
Draw 25.7%
Sheffield Wednesday 34% ▲ (+0.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.92% ▲ (+0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.85% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 2.5 49.15% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 3.5 28.78% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 71.22% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 4.5 13.84% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 4.5 86.16% ▼ (-0.07)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5 75.9% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 0.5 24.1% ▲ (+0.20)
Over 1.5 41.61% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 1.5 58.4% ▲ (+0.29)

Sheffield Wednesday Goals

Over 0.5 72.36% ▲ (+0.37)
Under 0.5 27.64% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 1.5 36.82% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 1.5 63.19% ▼ (-0.47)

Score analysis

Stoke City 40.3%
Draw 25.69%
Sheffield Wednesday 34%
Stoke City
1-0 @ 9.48% ▼ (-0.11)
2-1 @ 8.67% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 6.74% ▼ (-0.12)
3-1 @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 40.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.18% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.66% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.58% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.69%
Sheffield Wednesday
0-1 @ 8.57% ▲ (+0.05)
1-2 @ 7.84% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 5.51% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 3.36% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.07)
1-4 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 34%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 22
Sheff Weds
Dec 21, 2024 12.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Hillsborough Stadium
Stoke
  • Di'Shon Bernard 31' yellowcard
  • Shea Charles 36' yellowcard
  • Di'Shon Bernard 41' redcard
  • Josh Windass 52' goal
  • Callum Paterson 76' goal
  • Max Lowe 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lewis Koumas 38'
  • yellowcard Junior Tchamadeu 74'
Championship Gameweek 43
Sheff Weds
Apr 13, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Hillsborough Stadium
Stoke
  • Marvin Johnson 28' yellowcard
  • Liam Palmer 68' goal
  • yellowcard Lewis Baker 33'
  • yellowcard Jordan Thompson 60'
  • yellowcard Michael Rose 71'
  • goal Luke Cundle 76'
  • yellowcard Million Manhoef 77'
Championship Gameweek 20
Stoke
Dec 9, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Bet365 Stadium
Sheff Weds
  • Wouter Burger 10' yellowcard
  • Wouter Burger 10' yellowcard
  • Luke McNally 82' yellowcard
  • Ciaran Clark 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Akin Famewo 9'
  • yellowcard Akin Famewo 9'
  • yellowcard Marvin Johnson 34'
  • goal Anthony Musaba 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Anthony Musaba 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Barry Bannan 90'+6'
Championship Gameweek 30
Stoke
Feb 16, 2021 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Bet365 Stadium
Sheff Weds
  • Steven Fletcher 83' goal
  • Jack Clarke 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sam Hutchinson 41'
Championship Gameweek 14
Sheff Weds
Nov 28, 2020 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Hillsborough Stadium
Stoke
  • Liam Shaw 42' yellowcard
  • Kadeem Harris 68' yellowcard
  • Barry Bannan 79' yellowcard
  • Massimo Luongo 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathan Collins 67'
  • yellowcard Sam Clucas 86'
Championship Gameweek 24
Stoke
Dec 26, 2019 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Sheff Weds
  • James McClean 11' goal
  • Tyrese Campbell 93' goal
  • Sam Vokes 97' goal
  • yellowcard Kadeem Harris 45'
  • goal Morgan Fox 67'
  • goal Tom Lees 74'
  • yellowcard Barry Bannan 76'

Form Data

Cardiff 0 - 1 Stoke
Stoke 1 - 1 Luton
Preston 1 - 1 Stoke
Stoke 3 - 1 QPR
Millwall 1 - 0 Stoke
Stoke 1 - 0 Blackburn
Sheff Weds 0 - 1 Oxford Utd
Blackburn 2 - 2 Sheff Weds
Sheff Weds 0 - 1 Hull City
Cardiff 1 - 1 Sheff Weds
Sheff Weds 0 - 1 Sheff Utd
Norwich 2 - 3 Sheff Weds