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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Sheffield Wednesday logo

Stoke
2 - 0
Sheff Weds

Manhoef (21'), Wilmot (61')
Pearson (2'), Wilmot (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Iorfa (3'), Bannan (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Sheffield Wednesday, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 0-1 Stoke
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 2-1 Sheffield Wednesday

With the hosts gaining in confidence and the visitors seemingly ending their campaign in a rut, we back Stoke City to cement their Championship status for next season with a second straight victory to kick off the Easter weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawSheffield Wednesday
40.3% (-0.487 -0.49) 25.7%34% (0.493 0.49)
Both teams to score 54.92% (0.133 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.85% (0.12 0.12)49.15% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.78% (0.107 0.11)71.22% (-0.102 -0.1)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.9% (-0.19499999999999 -0.19)24.1% (0.2 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.61% (-0.28 -0.28)58.4% (0.286 0.29)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.36% (0.36499999999999 0.36)27.64% (-0.359 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.82% (0.466 0.47)63.19% (-0.46 -0.46)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 40.3%
    Sheffield Wednesday 34%
    Draw 25.69%
Stoke CityDrawSheffield Wednesday
1-0 @ 9.48% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 8.67% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.74% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-1 @ 4.11% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.2% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.46% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 40.3%
1-1 @ 12.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.66% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 8.57% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.84% (0.077 0.08)
0-2 @ 5.51% (0.085 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.36% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.39% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.36% (0.06 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 34%

How you voted: Stoke vs Sheff Weds

Stoke City
75.0%
Draw
7.1%
Sheffield Wednesday
17.9%
28
Head to Head
Dec 21, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 22
Sheff Weds
2-0
Stoke
Windass (52'), Paterson (76')
Bernard (31'), Charles (36'), Lowe (81')
Bernard (41')

Koumas (38'), Tchamadeu (74')
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 43
Sheff Weds
1-1
Stoke
Palmer (68')
Johnson (28')
Cundle (76')
Baker (33'), Thompson (60'), Rose (71'), Manhoef (77')
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 20
Stoke
0-1
Sheff Weds

Burger (10'), McNally (82'), Clark (88')
Musaba (90+1')
Famewo (9'), Johnson (34'), Bannan (90+6'), Musaba (90+5')
Feb 16, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 30
Stoke
1-0
Sheff Weds
Fletcher (83')
Clarke (90+2')

Hutchinson (41')
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 14
Sheff Weds
0-0
Stoke
Shaw (42'), Harris (68'), Bannan (79'), Luongo (86')
Collins (67'), Clucas (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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