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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Sheffield Wednesday logo

Stoke
2 - 0
Sheff Weds

Manhoef (21'), Wilmot (61')
Pearson (2'), Wilmot (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Iorfa (3'), Bannan (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Sheffield Wednesday, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 0-1 Stoke
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawSheffield Wednesday
40.3% (-0.487 -0.49)25.7%34% (0.493 0.49)
Both teams to score 54.92% (0.133 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.85% (0.12 0.12)49.15% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.78% (0.107 0.11)71.22% (-0.102 -0.1)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.9% (-0.19499999999999 -0.19)24.1% (0.2 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.61% (-0.28 -0.28)58.4% (0.286 0.29)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.36% (0.36499999999999 0.36)27.64% (-0.359 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.82% (0.466 0.47)63.19% (-0.46 -0.46)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 40.3%
    Sheffield Wednesday 34%
    Draw 25.69%
Stoke CityDrawSheffield Wednesday
1-0 @ 9.48% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 8.67% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.74% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-1 @ 4.11% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.2% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.46% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 40.3%
1-1 @ 12.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.66% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 8.57% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.84% (0.077 0.08)
0-2 @ 5.51% (0.085 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.36% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.39% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.36% (0.06 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 34%

How you voted: Stoke vs Sheff Weds

Stoke City
75.0%
Draw
7.1%
Sheffield Wednesday
17.9%
28
Head to Head
Dec 21, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 22
Sheff Weds
2-0
Stoke
Windass (52'), Paterson (76')
Bernard (31'), Charles (36'), Lowe (81')
Bernard (41')

Koumas (38'), Tchamadeu (74')
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 43
Sheff Weds
1-1
Stoke
Palmer (68')
Johnson (28')
Cundle (76')
Baker (33'), Thompson (60'), Rose (71'), Manhoef (77')
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 20
Stoke
0-1
Sheff Weds

Burger (10'), McNally (82'), Clark (88')
Musaba (90+1')
Famewo (9'), Johnson (34'), Bannan (90+6'), Musaba (90+5')
Feb 16, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 30
Stoke
1-0
Sheff Weds
Fletcher (83')
Clarke (90+2')

Hutchinson (41')
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 14
Sheff Weds
0-0
Stoke
Shaw (42'), Harris (68'), Bannan (79'), Luongo (86')
Collins (67'), Clucas (86')