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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
| 40.3% ( | 25.7% | 34% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.92% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.85% ( | 49.15% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.78% ( | 71.22% ( |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.9% ( | 24.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.61% ( | 58.4% ( |
| Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.36% ( | 27.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.82% ( | 63.19% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
| 1-0 @ 9.48% ( 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 2-0 @ 6.74% ( 3-1 @ 4.11% ( 3-0 @ 3.2% ( 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 4-2 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 1.91% Total : 40.3% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 3-3 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 8.57% ( 1-2 @ 7.84% ( 0-2 @ 5.51% ( 1-3 @ 3.36% ( 2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0-3 @ 2.36% ( 1-4 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.9% Total : 34% |