World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Jun 10, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stade de la Reunification

Uganda
1 - 2
Algeria

Mutyaba (10')
Mato (23'), Byaruhanga (36'), Mutyaba (72'), Mutyaba (82'), Ssekiganda (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Aouar (46'), Benrahma (58')
Benrahma (66'), Bentaleb (69'), Bounedjah (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Uganda and Algeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uganda

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Uganda 1-0 Botswana
Friday, June 7 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Egypt	3	5	9
2	Uganda	3	0	4
3	Congo DR	3	0	3
4	Zimbabwe	3	-5	1

Algeria

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Algeria 1-2 Guinea
Thursday, June 6 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Angola	3	3	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	-1	4
3	Mauritania	3	-1	3
4	Algeria	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 56.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Uganda had a probability of 19.01%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.3%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Uganda win it was 1-0 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.

Result
Uganda	Draw	Algeria
19.01% ( -0.49)	24.52% ( -0.11)	56.47% ( 0.61)

Both teams to score 45.71% (

-0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.07% (

-0.19)

54.93% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.79% (

-0.16)

76.21% (

0.16)

Uganda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.69% (

-0.68)

43.31% (

0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.45% (

-0.57)

79.55% (

0.57)

Algeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.64% (

0.16)

19.36% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.85% (

0.26)

51.15% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Uganda 19.01%

Algeria 56.45%

Draw 24.52%

Uganda	Draw	Algeria
1-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.8% Total : 19.01%	1-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.66% Total : 24.52%	0-1 @ 13.76% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 11.3% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 9.46% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.19% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 5.18% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.54% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.13% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.74% Total : 56.45%