World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Mar 24, 2025 at 9pm UK

Stade olympique Hammadi Agrebi

Tunisia
2 - 0
Malawi

Jaziri (86'), Achouri (90+2' pen.)
Ben Slimane (45+2'), Bronn (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Banega Aaron (20'), Kawonga (23'), Chirwa (52'), Thole (85')
Banega Aaron (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Tunisia and Malawi, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tunisia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Liberia 0-1 Tunisia
Wednesday, March 19 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Malawi

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Malawi 0-1 Namibia
Thursday, March 20 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	1	5
2	Guinea	3	0	4
3	Malawi	3	0	4
4	Zimbabwe	3	-1	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 68.25%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Malawi had a probability of 10.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.45%) and 3-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Malawi win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Tunisia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Tunisia.

Result
Tunisia	Draw	Malawi
68.25% ( -0.07)	21.25% ( 0.04)	10.51% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 35.63% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.5% (

-0.07)

57.5% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.71% (

-0.06)

78.29% (

0.06)

Tunisia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.91% (

-0.05)

16.09% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.52% (

-0.09)

45.48% (

0.09)

Malawi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

42.46% (

0.02)

57.54% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.66% (

0.01)

89.34% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Tunisia 68.24%

Malawi 10.51%

Draw 21.25%

Tunisia	Draw	Malawi
1-0 @ 16.91% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 15.45% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 9.41% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.54% 3-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 68.24%	1-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 2.36% ( 0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.25%	0-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.4% Total : 10.51%