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Africa Cup of Nations

Burundi national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stade Felix Houphouet-Boigny
Malawi national football team

Burundi
0 - 0
Malawi


Liongola (90+1')
FT

Singo (27'), Chembezi (35'), Lameck (65'), Banda (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Burundi and Malawi, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burundi

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Burundi 0-2 Burkina Faso
Sunday, October 13 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Malawi

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Malawi 0-1 Senegal
Tuesday, October 15 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Burundi had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Burundi win was 1-0 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
BurundiDrawMalawi
34.48% (-0.328 -0.33)27.31% (-0.073 -0.07)38.22% (0.402 0.4)
Both teams to score 49.81% (0.182 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.31% (0.249 0.25)55.7% (-0.247 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.16% (0.202 0.2)76.84% (-0.199 -0.2)
Burundi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.45% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)30.56% (0.09 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.22% (-0.104 -0.1)66.79% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Malawi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.73% (0.355 0.36)28.27% (-0.353 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.02% (0.448 0.45)63.98% (-0.445 -0.45)
Score Analysis
    Burundi 34.48%
    Malawi 38.21%
    Draw 27.3%
BurundiDrawMalawi
1-0 @ 10.24% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-1 @ 7.67% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.07% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.03% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.4% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 34.48%
1-1 @ 12.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.64% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.3%
0-1 @ 10.91% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.17% (0.064 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.89% (0.07 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.44% (0.06 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.9% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.031 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.029 0.03)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 38.21%

How you voted: Burundi vs Malawi

Burundi
45.5%
Draw
36.4%
Malawi
18.2%
22
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2024 2pm
Group Stage
Malawi
2-3
Burundi
Kawonga (31'), Nkhoma (75')
Saizi (83')
Idana (22' og.), Claude Girumugisha (33'), Elie Eldhino (87')
Madjaliwa Mussa (21'), Nsabiyumva (90+4'), Ndayishimiye (90+4')
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