Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 13, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stade de l'Amitie

Burundi
0 - 2
Burkina Faso

Ntibazonkiza (53')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Konate (5'), Traore (90+4' pen.)
Kabore (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Burundi and Burkina Faso, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burundi

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Burkina Faso 4-1 Burundi
Thursday, October 10 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Madagascar	3	3	7
2	Nigeria	3	0	6
3	Guinea	3	1	4
4	Burundi	3	-4	0

Burkina Faso

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Burkina Faso 4-1 Burundi
Thursday, October 10 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Angola	3	3	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	-1	4
3	Mauritania	3	-1	3
4	Algeria	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 60.04%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Burundi had a probability of 16.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.16%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Burundi win it was 1-0 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burkina Faso would win this match.

Result
Burundi	Draw	Burkina Faso
16.55% ( 0.3)	23.4% ( 0.11)	60.04% ( -0.4)

Both teams to score 44.52% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.84% (

0.05)

54.16% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.43% (

0.05)

75.57% (

-0.04)

Burundi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.12% (

0.42)

45.87% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.38% (

0.33)

81.62% (

-0.33)

Burkina Faso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.26% (

-0.12)

17.74% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.58% (

-0.21)

48.42% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Burundi 16.55%

Burkina Faso 60.03%

Draw 23.4%

Burundi	Draw	Burkina Faso
1-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.4% Total : 16.55%	1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.6% Total : 23.4%	0-1 @ 14.07% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 12.16% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 9.48% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 7.02% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 5.47% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 3.03% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 60.03%