World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Jun 11, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade Municipal de Berkane

Seychelles
1 - 3
Burundi

Hoareau (78')
Mellie (45'), Raheriniaina (67')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Abdallah (34'), Kanakimana (62', 69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Seychelles and Burundi, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Seychelles

Last Game: Gambia 5-1 Seychelles
Saturday, June 8 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Burundi

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Kenya 1-1 Burundi
Friday, June 7 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Madagascar	3	3	7
2	Nigeria	3	0	6
3	Guinea	3	1	4
4	Burundi	3	-4	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burundi win with a probability of 71.81%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Seychelles had a probability of 10.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burundi win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.69%) and 0-3 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Seychelles win it was 1-0 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burundi would win this match.

Result
Seychelles	Draw	Burundi
10.52% ( 0.17)	17.67% ( 0.17)	71.81% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 45.74% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.5% (

-0.29)

43.5% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.11% (

-0.28)

65.89% (

0.29)

Seychelles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.25% (

0.13)

48.75% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.22% (

0.09)

83.77% (

-0.09)

Burundi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.24% (

-0.16)

10.76% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.25% (

-0.37)

34.75% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Seychelles 10.52%

Burundi 71.8%

Draw 17.68%

Seychelles	Draw	Burundi
1-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.37% Total : 10.52%	1-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.66% Total : 17.68%	0-2 @ 13.03% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 9.69% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 9.37% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 6.96% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 5.4% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 3.88% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0) 0-5 @ 2.41% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 1.73% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.76% Total : 71.8%