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World Cup

Seychelles national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Jun 11, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Municipal de Berkane
Burundi national football team

Seychelles
1 - 3
Burundi

Hoareau (78')
Mellie (45'), Raheriniaina (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Abdallah (34'), Kanakimana (62', 69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Seychelles and Burundi, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Seychelles

Last Game: Gambia 5-1 Seychelles
Saturday, June 8 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Burundi

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Kenya 1-1 Burundi
Friday, June 7 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burundi win with a probability of 71.81%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Seychelles had a probability of 10.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burundi win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.69%) and 0-3 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Seychelles win it was 1-0 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burundi would win this match.

Result
SeychellesDrawBurundi
10.52% (0.166 0.17)17.67% (0.169 0.17)71.81% (-0.33500000000001 -0.34)
Both teams to score 45.74% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.5% (-0.289 -0.29)43.5% (0.291 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.11% (-0.284 -0.28)65.89% (0.28500000000001 0.29)
Seychelles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.25% (0.132 0.13)48.75% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.22% (0.094000000000001 0.09)83.77% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)
Burundi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.24% (-0.16199999999999 -0.16)10.76% (0.163 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.25% (-0.366 -0.37)34.75% (0.368 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Seychelles 10.52%
    Burundi 71.8%
    Draw 17.68%
SeychellesDrawBurundi
1-0 @ 3.77% (0.062 0.06)
2-1 @ 3.02% (0.04 0.04)
2-0 @ 1.35% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 10.52%
1-1 @ 8.4% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.25% (0.066 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.37% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 17.68%
0-2 @ 13.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 11.69% (0.07 0.07)
0-3 @ 9.69% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-2 @ 9.37% (0.025 0.03)
1-3 @ 6.96% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-4 @ 5.4% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-4 @ 3.88% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-5 @ 2.41% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-5 @ 1.73% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.39% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 71.8%

How you voted: Seychelles vs Burundi

Seychelles
13.3%
Draw
13.3%
Burundi
73.3%
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