World Cup Qualifying - Africa
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fseylog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fburlog.png)
-
Warren Mellie
45'
-
Imra Raheriniaina
67'
-
Lorenzo Hoareau
78'
-
Sudi Abdallah
34'
-
Bienvenue Kanakimana
62'
-
Bienvenue Kanakimana
69'
Seychelles vs Burundi - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F21%2Ffootball-general-generic-9.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burundi win with a probability of 71.81%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Seychelles had a probability of 10.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burundi win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.69%) and 0-3 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Seychelles win it was 1-0 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burundi would win this match.
Result
Seychelles
10.52%
▲
(+0.17)
Draw
17.67%
▲
(+0.17)
Burundi
71.81%
▼
(-0.34)
Both Teams to Score:
45.74%
▲
(+0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5
56.5%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 2.5
43.5%
▲
(+0.30)
Over 3.5
34.11%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 3.5
65.89%
▲
(+0.29)
Over 4.5
17.6%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 4.5
82.4%
▲
(+0.21)
Seychelles Goals
Over 0.5
51.25%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 0.5
48.75%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 1.5
16.22%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 1.5
83.77%
▼
(-0.10)
Burundi Goals
Over 0.5
89.24%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 0.5
10.76%
▲
(+0.17)
Over 1.5
65.25%
▼
(-0.37)
Under 1.5
34.75%
▲
(+0.37)
Score analysis
Seychelles
10.52%
Draw
17.68%
Burundi
71.8%
Seychelles
1-0
@
3.77%
▲
(+0.07)
2-1 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 10.52%
2-1 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 10.52%
Draw
1-1
@
8.4%
▲
(+0.09)
0-0 @ 5.25% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 17.68%
0-0 @ 5.25% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 17.68%
Burundi
0-2
@
13.03%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 11.69% ▲ (+0.08)
0-3 @ 9.69% ▼ (-0.08)
1-2 @ 9.37% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 6.96% ▼ (-0.03)
0-4 @ 5.4% ▼ (-0.09)
1-4 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.01)
0-5 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.06)
1-5 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.04)
2-4 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 71.8%
0-1 @ 11.69% ▲ (+0.08)
0-3 @ 9.69% ▼ (-0.08)
1-2 @ 9.37% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 6.96% ▼ (-0.03)
0-4 @ 5.4% ▼ (-0.09)
1-4 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.01)
0-5 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.06)
1-5 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.04)
2-4 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 71.8%