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Africa Cup of Nations

Burundi national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 9, 2024 at 2pm UK
Bingu National Stadium
Senegal national football team

Burundi
0 - 1
Senegal


Elie Eldhino (37'), Michel Musore (47'), Claude Girumugisha (69'), Nsabiyumva (69'), Ntibazonkiza (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sarr (71' pen.)
Mendy (42'), Diallo (69'), Mane (87'), Hadji Malick Diouf (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Burundi and Senegal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burundi

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Malawi 2-3 Burundi
Thursday, September 5 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Senegal

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Senegal 1-1 Burkina Faso
Friday, September 6 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 71.77%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Burundi had a probability of 11.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-3 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.66%), while for a Burundi win it was 2-1 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.

Result
BurundiDrawSenegal
11.68% (-0.096 -0.1)16.56% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)71.77% (0.151 0.15)
Both teams to score 54.13% (-0.117 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.26% (0.007000000000005 0.01)34.74% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.3% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)56.69% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Burundi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.16% (-0.152 -0.15)40.84% (0.15 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.59% (-0.136 -0.14)77.41% (0.134 0.13)
Senegal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.5% (0.035000000000011 0.04)8.5% (-0.0359 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.55% (0.088999999999999 0.09)29.45% (-0.09 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Burundi 11.68%
    Senegal 71.76%
    Draw 16.56%
BurundiDrawSenegal
2-1 @ 3.43% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-0 @ 3.11% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 1.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.02% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 11.68%
1-1 @ 7.66% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.23% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 16.56%
0-2 @ 10.54% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.45% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 8.67% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-1 @ 8.56% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 7.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 5.34% (0.034 0.03)
1-4 @ 4.78% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.48% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-5 @ 2.63% (0.021 0.02)
1-5 @ 2.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.14% (-0.004 -0)
0-6 @ 1.08% (0.01 0.01)
2-5 @ 1.06%
1-6 @ 0.97% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 71.76%

How you voted: Burundi vs Senegal

Burundi
17.0%
Draw
15.1%
Senegal
67.9%
53