Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
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-
Mokono Elie Eldhino
37'
-
Prince Michel Musore
47'
-
Jean Claude Girumugisha
69'
-
Frederic Nsabiyumva
69'
-
Saidi Ntibazonkiza
84'
-
Formose Mendy
42'
-
Habib Diallo
69'
-
Ismaila Sarr
71'
-
Sadio Mane
87'
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El Hadji Malick Diouf
90'+6'
Burundi vs Senegal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 71.77%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Burundi had a probability of 11.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-3 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.66%), while for a Burundi win it was 2-1 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.
Result
Burundi
11.68%
▼
(-0.10)
Draw
16.56%
▼
(-0.06)
Senegal
71.77%
▲
(+0.16)
Both Teams to Score:
54.13%
▼
(-0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5
65.26%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
34.74%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
43.3%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
56.69%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 4.5
24.85%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
75.14%
▼
(-0.01)
Burundi Goals
Over 0.5
59.16%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 0.5
40.84%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 1.5
22.59%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 1.5
77.41%
▲
(+0.14)
Senegal Goals
Over 0.5
91.5%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
8.5%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
70.55%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 1.5
29.45%
▼
(-0.09)
Score analysis
Burundi
11.68%
Draw
16.56%
Senegal
71.76%
Burundi
2-1
@
3.43%
▼
(-0.03)
1-0 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 11.68%
1-0 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 11.68%
Draw
1-1
@
7.66%
▼
(-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 16.56%
2-2 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 16.56%
Senegal
0-2
@
10.54%
▲
(+0.03)
1-2 @ 9.45% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 8.67% ▲ (+0.04)
0-1 @ 8.56% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 7.76% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 5.34% ▲ (+0.04)
1-4 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.02)
0-5 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.03)
1-5 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.01)
0-6 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.02)
2-5 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 71.76%
1-2 @ 9.45% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 8.67% ▲ (+0.04)
0-1 @ 8.56% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 7.76% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 5.34% ▲ (+0.04)
1-4 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.02)
0-5 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.03)
1-5 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.01)
0-6 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.02)
2-5 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 71.76%