Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 6, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade Leopold Sedar Senghor

Senegal
1 - 1
Burkina Faso

Mane (16')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bouda (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Senegal and Burkina Faso, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Senegal

All competitions

Last Game: Mauritania 0-1 Senegal
Sunday, June 9 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	7	9
2	Cameroon	3	-1	4
3	Guinea	3	-1	4
4	Gambia	3	-5	0

Burkina Faso

All competitions

Last Game: Burkina Faso 2-2 Sierra Leone
Monday, June 10 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Angola	3	3	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	-1	4
3	Mauritania	3	-1	3
4	Algeria	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 53.49%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 19.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Senegal	Draw	Burkina Faso
53.49% ( -0.05)	26.65% ( -0.06)	19.86% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 41.46% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.76% (

0.28)

61.24% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.83% (

0.21)

81.17% (

-0.21)

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.85% (

0.1)

23.15% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.98% (

0.15)

57.02% (

-0.14)

Burkina Faso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.94% (

0.29)

46.05% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.24% (

0.22)

81.76% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Senegal 53.48%

Burkina Faso 19.86%

Draw 26.65%

Senegal	Draw	Burkina Faso
1-0 @ 15.59% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 11.41% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 53.48%	1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.66% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.46% Total : 26.65%	0-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.49% Total : 19.86%