Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sep 6, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Leopold Sedar Senghor
  • Sadio Mane 16' goal
  • goal Ousseni Bouda 90'+5'

Senegal vs Burkina Faso - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Senegal

All competitions

Burkina Faso

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 53.49%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 19.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result

Senegal 53.49% (-0.05)
Draw 26.65% (-0.06)
Burkina Faso 19.86% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.46% (+0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5 38.76% (+0.29)
Under 2.5 61.24% (-0.29)
Over 3.5 18.83% (+0.22)
Under 3.5 81.17% (-0.21)
Over 4.5 7.67% (+0.12)
Under 4.5 92.33% (-0.12)

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5 76.85% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 23.15% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 42.98% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 57.02% (-0.15)

Burkina Faso Goals

Over 0.5 53.94% (+0.29)
Under 0.5 46.05% (-0.29)
Over 1.5 18.24% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 81.76% (-0.22)

Score analysis

Senegal 53.48%
Draw 26.65%
Burkina Faso 19.86%
Senegal
1-0 @ 15.59% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 11.41% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 8.85% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 5.57% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.32% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 2.04% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.67% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.58% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 53.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.09% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 10.66% (-0.11)
2-2 @ 3.43% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 26.65%
Burkina Faso
0-1 @ 8.27% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 4.69% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.2% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.21% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 19.86%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
Feb 2, 2022 7.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Adama Guira 28' yellowcard
  • Blati Toure 82' goal
  • yellowcard Bouna Sarr 50'
  • goal Abdou Diallo 70'
  • goal Idrissa Gueye 76'
  • goal Sadio Mane 87'
  • yellowcard Pape Abou Cisse 90'+3'