Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 10, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade 26 Mars
Burkina Faso3 - 1Malawi
Form, Standings, Stats
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Senegal 1-1 Burkina Faso
Friday, September 6 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Friday, September 6 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
We said: Burkina Faso 2-1 Malawi
While Malawi can consider themselves somewhat unlucky to have not at least come away from their opening game with a point, Burkina Faso will be buoyed by their last-gasp equaliser against Senegal, and on home soil they should narrowly squeeze past the visitors here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 64.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Malawi had a probability of 12.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.75%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.64%), while for a Malawi win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burkina Faso would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burkina Faso | Draw | Malawi |
64.01% ( 0) | 23.55% ( 0) | 12.44% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 35.46% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
