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Africa Cup of Nations

Burkina Faso national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 10, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade 26 Mars
Malawi national football team

Burkina Faso
3 - 1
Malawi

Traore (35', 38'), Bande (60' pen.)
Simpore (29')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Nkhoma (80')
Chaziya (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Burkina Faso and Malawi, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burkina Faso

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Senegal 1-1 Burkina Faso
Friday, September 6 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Malawi

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Malawi 2-3 Burundi
Thursday, September 5 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 64.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Malawi had a probability of 12.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.75%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.64%), while for a Malawi win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burkina Faso would win this match.

Result
Burkina FasoDrawMalawi
64.01% (0.0049999999999955 0)23.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)12.44% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 35.46% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.81% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)61.19% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.86% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)81.14% (0.01700000000001 0.02)
Burkina Faso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.08% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)18.91% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.59% (-0.012 -0.01)50.41% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Malawi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.73% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)56.27% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.37% (-0.016 -0.02)88.62% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Burkina Faso 64%
    Malawi 12.44%
    Draw 23.55%
Burkina FasoDrawMalawi
1-0 @ 17.72% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 14.75%
2-1 @ 8.49% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 8.19% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 3.41%
4-1 @ 1.96% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.35% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 64%
0-0 @ 10.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-1 @ 10.19%
2-2 @ 2.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.55%
0-1 @ 6.12%
1-2 @ 2.93% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 1.76% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 12.44%

How you voted: Burkina Faso vs Malawi

Burkina Faso
70.8%
Draw
16.7%
Malawi
12.5%
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