Burkina Faso vs Malawi - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 64.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Malawi had a probability of 12.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.75%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.64%), while for a Malawi win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burkina Faso would win this match.