World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Jun 10, 2024 at 2pm UK

Nuevo Estadio de Malabo

Eq Guinea
1 - 0
Malawi

Salvador (82')
Siafa (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Banega Aaron (11'), Mwaungulu (26'), Chokooka (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Equatorial Guinea and Malawi, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Equatorial Guinea

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Tunisia 1-0 Eq Guinea
Wednesday, June 5 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Malawi

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Malawi 3-1 Sao Tome
Thursday, June 6 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	1	5
2	Guinea	3	0	4
3	Malawi	3	0	4
4	Zimbabwe	3	-1	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 37.48%. A win for Malawi had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Malawi win was 0-1 (11.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Equatorial Guinea in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Equatorial Guinea.

Result
Equatorial Guinea	Draw	Malawi
37.48% ( -0.36)	29.09% ( -0.2)	33.43% ( 0.56)

Both teams to score 44.47% (

0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.75% (

0.74)

62.25% (

-0.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.08% (

0.54)

81.92% (

-0.54)

Equatorial Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.04% (

0.16)

31.96% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.58% (

0.17)

68.42% (

-0.18)

Malawi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.36% (

0.79)

34.64% (

-0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.63% (

0.83)

71.37% (

-0.83)

Score Analysis

Equatorial Guinea 37.47%

Malawi 33.42%

Draw 29.08%

Equatorial Guinea	Draw	Malawi
1-0 @ 12.62% ( -0.3) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.83% Total : 37.47%	1-1 @ 13.38% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 11.07% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.59% Total : 29.08%	0-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.23% Total : 33.42%