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Ivan Salvador
82'
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Oscar Siafa
89'
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Lloyd Banega Aaron
11'
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Patrick Mwaungulu
26'
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George Chokooka
63'
Equatorial Guinea vs Malawi - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 37.48%. A win for Malawi had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Malawi win was 0-1 (11.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Equatorial Guinea in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Equatorial Guinea.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Equatorial Guinea Goals
Malawi Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 7.64% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.2% ▼ (-0.14)
3-1 @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 37.47%
0-0 @ 11.07% ▼ (-0.32)
2-2 @ 4.05% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 29.08%
1-2 @ 7.1% ▲ (+0.15)
0-2 @ 6.22% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.11)
0-3 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.08)
2-3 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 33.42%