World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 20, 2025 at 4pm UK
Bingu National Stadium
Malawi0 - 1Namibia
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Malawi and Namibia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Malawi 3-0 Burkina Faso
Monday, November 18 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Monday, November 18 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Guinea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Malawi | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -1 | 3 |
Last Game: Kenya 0-0 Namibia
Tuesday, November 19 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Tuesday, November 19 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Namibia | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 40.01%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Namibia had a probability of 29.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.28%) and 2-1 (7.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.03%), while for a Namibia win it was 0-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Malawi | Draw | Namibia |
40.01% ( 0.02) | 30.96% ( 0.01) | 29.04% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 38.7% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
