World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Mar 20, 2025 at 4pm UK

Bingu National Stadium

Malawi
0 - 1
Namibia

FT(HT: 0-1)

Tjiueza (40')
Damaseb (24'), Maova (61'), Kambindu (86')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Malawi and Namibia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malawi

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Malawi 3-0 Burkina Faso
Monday, November 18 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	1	5
2	Guinea	3	0	4
3	Malawi	3	0	4
4	Zimbabwe	3	-1	3

Namibia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Kenya 0-0 Namibia
Tuesday, November 19 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 40.01%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Namibia had a probability of 29.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.28%) and 2-1 (7.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.03%), while for a Namibia win it was 0-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Malawi	Draw	Namibia
40.01% ( 0.02)	30.96% ( 0.01)	29.04% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 38.7% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

31.34% (

-0.02)

68.66% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

13.64% (

-0.01)

86.37% (

0.02)

Malawi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.24% (

33.76% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.58% (

70.42% (

Namibia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.42% (

-0.03)

41.58% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.93% (

-0.03)

78.07% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Malawi 40%

Namibia 29.03%

Draw 30.95%

Malawi	Draw	Namibia
1-0 @ 15.24% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.26% 3-0 @ 3% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 40%	0-0 @ 14.03% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 13.37% 2-2 @ 3.19% ( -0) Other @ 0.36% Total : 30.95%	0-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.41% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 1.21% Total : 29.03%