Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
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-
Gabadinho Mhango
28'
-
Richard Mbulu
56'
-
Richard Mbulu
57'
-
Lloyd Banega Aaron
62'
-
Mohamed Ouedraogo
81'
-
Cheick Ouedraogo
81'
Malawi vs Burkina Faso - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Malawi had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (8.45%). The likeliest Malawi win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
Result
Malawi
28.67%
▲
(+2.32)
Draw
27.76%
▲
(+1.15)
Burkina Faso
43.57%
▼
(-3.48)
Both Teams to Score:
46.54%
▼
(-1.71)
Goals
Over 2.5
41.09%
▼
(-2.94)
Under 2.5
58.91%
▲
(+2.94)
Over 3.5
20.6%
▼
(-2.33)
Under 3.5
79.4%
▲
(+2.33)
Over 4.5
8.68%
▼
(-1.40)
Under 4.5
91.31%
▲
(+1.39)
Malawi Goals
Over 0.5
63.61%
▲
(+0.31)
Under 0.5
36.39%
▼
(-0.31)
Over 1.5
26.83%
▲
(+0.31)
Under 1.5
73.17%
▼
(-0.32)
Burkina Faso Goals
Over 0.5
73.16%
▼
(-3.05)
Under 0.5
26.84%
▲
(+3.04)
Over 1.5
37.86%
▼
(-4.18)
Under 1.5
62.14%
▲
(+4.18)
Score analysis
Malawi
28.67%
Draw
27.76%
Burkina Faso
43.56%
Malawi
1-0
@
9.87%
▲
(+1.12)
2-1 @ 6.56% ▲ (+0.27)
2-0 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.61)
3-1 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.11)
3-0 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.22)
3-2 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 28.67%
2-1 @ 6.56% ▲ (+0.27)
2-0 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.61)
3-1 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.11)
3-0 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.22)
3-2 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 28.67%
Draw
1-1
@
12.98%
▲
(+0.42)
0-0 @ 9.77% ▲ (+1.04)
2-2 @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.21)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.76%
0-0 @ 9.77% ▲ (+1.04)
2-2 @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.21)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.76%
Burkina Faso
0-1
@
12.84%
▲
(+0.32)
1-2 @ 8.54% ▼ (-0.49)
0-2 @ 8.45% ▼ (-0.55)
1-3 @ 3.75% ▼ (-0.58)
0-3 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.61)
2-3 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.28)
1-4 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.32)
0-4 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.33)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 43.56%
1-2 @ 8.54% ▼ (-0.49)
0-2 @ 8.45% ▼ (-0.55)
1-3 @ 3.75% ▼ (-0.58)
0-3 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.61)
2-3 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.28)
1-4 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.32)
0-4 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.33)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 43.56%
Head to Head
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
-
Saidou Simpore
29'
-
Lassina Traore
35'
-
Lassina Traore
38'
-
Hassane Bande
60'
-
Lawrence Chaziya
59'
-
Zeliat Nkhoma
80'