Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 18, 2024 at 1pm UK

Bingu National Stadium

Malawi
3 - 0
Burkina Faso

Mhango (28'), Mbulu (57'), Banega Aaron (62')
Mbulu (56')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ouedraogo (81'), Ouedraogo (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Malawi and Burkina Faso, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malawi

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Burundi 0-0 Malawi
Thursday, November 14 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	1	5
2	Guinea	3	0	4
3	Malawi	3	0	4
4	Zimbabwe	3	-1	3

Burkina Faso

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Burkina Faso 0-1 Senegal
Thursday, November 14 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Angola	3	3	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	-1	4
3	Mauritania	3	-1	3
4	Algeria	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Malawi had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (8.45%). The likeliest Malawi win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Malawi	Draw	Burkina Faso
28.67% ( 2.32)	27.76% ( 1.15)	43.57% ( -3.47)

Both teams to score 46.54% (

-1.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.09% (

-2.93)

58.91% (

2.93)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.6% (

-2.33)

79.4% (

2.33)

Malawi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.61% (

0.31)

36.39% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.83% (

0.31)

73.17% (

-0.31)

Burkina Faso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.16% (

-3.04)

26.84% (

3.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.86% (

-4.18)

62.14% (

4.18)

Score Analysis

Malawi 28.67%

Burkina Faso 43.56%

Draw 27.76%

Malawi	Draw	Burkina Faso
1-0 @ 9.87% ( 1.12) 2-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.6) 3-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.89% Total : 28.67%	1-1 @ 12.98% ( 0.42) 0-0 @ 9.77% ( 1.03) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.76%	0-1 @ 12.84% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 8.54% ( -0.48) 0-2 @ 8.45% ( -0.55) 1-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.57) 0-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.6) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.27) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.32) 0-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.33) Other @ 1.94% Total : 43.56%