Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 14, 2024 at 7pm UK

Stade 26 Mars

Burkina Faso
0 - 1
Senegal

FT(HT: 0-0)

Diarra (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Burkina Faso and Senegal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burkina Faso

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Burundi 0-2 Burkina Faso
Sunday, October 13 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Angola	3	3	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	-1	4
3	Mauritania	3	-1	3
4	Algeria	3	-1	2

Senegal

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Malawi 0-1 Senegal
Tuesday, October 15 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	7	9
2	Cameroon	3	-1	4
3	Guinea	3	-1	4
4	Gambia	3	-5	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 44.29%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 27.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.82%) and 1-2 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 1-0 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Senegal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Senegal.

Result
Burkina Faso	Draw	Senegal
27.51% ( -0.04)	28.19% ( 0.02)	44.29% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 44.73% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.14% (

-0.07)

60.86% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.11% (

-0.05)

80.89% (

0.05)

Burkina Faso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.6% (

-0.07)

38.4% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.84% (

-0.06)

75.15% (

0.06)

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.62% (

-0.02)

27.37% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.16% (

-0.02)

62.84% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Burkina Faso 27.51%

Senegal 44.29%

Draw 28.18%

Burkina Faso	Draw	Senegal
1-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.82% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.54% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.59% Total : 27.51%	1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 10.51% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.18%	0-1 @ 13.61% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.82% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.44% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.81% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.65% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.23% 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 1.79% Total : 44.29%