MX23RW : Friday, April 18 15:48:52| >> :600:93245:93245:
Liberia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 19, 2025 at 4pm UK
Samuel Kanyon Doe Sports Complex
Tunisia national football team

Liberia
0 - 1
Tunisia

FT(HT: 0-1)
Mastouri (4')
Ali Ben Romdhane (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Liberia and Tunisia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Algeria 5-1 Liberia
Sunday, November 17 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Tunisia 0-1 Gambia
Monday, November 18 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Liberia 1-1 Tunisia

Tunisia enter this clash as the stronger side based on their campaign so far, but with Liberia drawing confidence from home support, a tight, low-scoring contest could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 52.26%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Liberia had a probability of 19.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.7%) and 1-2 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.94%), while for a Liberia win it was 1-0 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 17.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Tunisia in this match.

Result
LiberiaDrawTunisia
19.43% (-0.295 -0.3) 28.31% (-0.227 -0.23) 52.26% (0.52200000000001 0.52)
Both teams to score 37.21% (0.125 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.54% (0.371 0.37)66.46% (-0.371 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.1% (0.252 0.25)84.9% (-0.25099999999999 -0.25)
Liberia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.32% (-0.119 -0.12)49.68% (0.11799999999999 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.56% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)84.43% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Tunisia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.94% (0.423 0.42)26.05% (-0.424 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.9% (0.564 0.56)61.1% (-0.565 -0.56)
Score Analysis
    Liberia 19.43%
    Tunisia 52.24%
    Draw 28.29%
LiberiaDrawTunisia
1-0 @ 9.06% (-0.156 -0.16)
2-1 @ 4.26% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 3.17% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-1 @ 0.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 19.43%
0-0 @ 12.94% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-1 @ 12.17% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 2.87% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 28.29%
0-1 @ 17.4% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 11.7% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 8.19% (0.057 0.06)
0-3 @ 5.25% (0.116 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.67% (0.069 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.77% (0.06 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.24% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 52.24%

How you voted: Liberia vs Tunisia

Liberia
13.0%
Draw
21.7%
Tunisia
65.2%
46
rhs 2.0
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