World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Mar 19, 2025 at 4pm UK

Samuel Kanyon Doe Sports Complex

Liberia
0 - 1
Tunisia

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mastouri (4')
Ali Ben Romdhane (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Liberia and Tunisia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Liberia

Last Game: Algeria 5-1 Liberia
Sunday, November 17 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Tunisia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Tunisia 0-1 Gambia
Monday, November 18 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 52.26%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Liberia had a probability of 19.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.7%) and 1-2 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.94%), while for a Liberia win it was 1-0 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 17.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Tunisia in this match.

Result
Liberia	Draw	Tunisia
19.43% ( -0.3)	28.31% ( -0.23)	52.26% ( 0.52)

Both teams to score 37.21% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.54% (

0.37)

66.46% (

-0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.1% (

0.25)

84.9% (

-0.25)

Liberia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.32% (

-0.12)

49.68% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.56% (

-0.08)

84.43% (

0.08)

Tunisia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.94% (

0.42)

26.05% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.9% (

0.56)

61.1% (

-0.56)

Score Analysis

Liberia 19.43%

Tunisia 52.24%

Draw 28.29%

Liberia	Draw	Tunisia
1-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.95% Total : 19.43%	0-0 @ 12.94% ( -0.18) 1-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.32% Total : 28.29%	0-1 @ 17.4% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 11.7% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 8.19% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 5.25% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.75% Total : 52.24%