Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 10, 2024 at 5pm UK

Samuel Kanyon Doe Sports Complex

Liberia
0 - 3
Algeria

W (73')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Gouiri (17'), Zorgane (25'), Bounedjah (80')
Zerrouki (73'), Khacef (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Liberia and Algeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Liberia

Last Game: Togo 1-1 Liberia
Friday, September 6 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Algeria

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Algeria 2-0 Eq Guinea
Thursday, September 5 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Angola	3	3	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	-1	4
3	Mauritania	3	-1	3
4	Algeria	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Liberia had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (8.66%). The likeliest Liberia win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.

Result
Liberia	Draw	Algeria
27.4% ( -0.18)	26.56% ( -0.08)	46.04% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 49.17% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.85% (

0.21)

55.15% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.6% (

0.18)

76.39% (

-0.18)

Liberia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.63% (

-0.03)

35.37% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.87% (

-0.03)

72.13% (

0.03)

Algeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.09% (

0.22)

23.91% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.88% (

0.32)

58.12% (

-0.32)

Score Analysis

Liberia 27.4%

Algeria 46.04%

Draw 26.55%

Liberia	Draw	Algeria
1-0 @ 8.79% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.04% Total : 27.4%	1-1 @ 12.57% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.55%	0-1 @ 12.1% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.66% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.29% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.62% Total : 46.04%