World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Jun 9, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stade Municipal

Sao Tome
0 - 1
Liberia

Silva (44'), R (45'), Silva (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sesay (90')
Dweh (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Sao Tome & Principe and Liberia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Tome & Principe

Last Game: Malawi 3-1 Sao Tome
Thursday, June 6 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Liberia

Last Game: Namibia 1-1 Liberia
Wednesday, June 5 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liberia win with a probability of 47.74%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 25.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liberia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.39%) and 1-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it was 1-0 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Liberia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Liberia.

Result
Sao Tome & Principe	Draw	Liberia
25.33% ( 0.05)	26.94% ( -0)	47.74% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 46.51% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.2% (

0.05)

57.8% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.47% (

0.04)

78.53% (

-0.04)

Sao Tome & Principe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.42% (

0.07)

38.59% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.67% (

0.07)

75.33% (

-0.07)

Liberia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.74% (

-0)

24.27% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.37% (

-0)

58.63% (

Score Analysis

Sao Tome & Principe 25.33%

Liberia 47.74%

Draw 26.94%

Sao Tome & Principe	Draw	Liberia
1-0 @ 8.92% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.35% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.54% Total : 25.33%	1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 9.36% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.7% Total : 26.94%	0-1 @ 13.26% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.39% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.94% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.43% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.22% 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.43% Total : 47.74%