World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Jun 9, 2024 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Municipal
  • Denilson Silva 44' yellowcard
  • R 45' yellowcard
  • Joao Silva 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sampson Dweh 62'
  • goal Sheikh Sesay 90'

Sao Tome & Principe vs Liberia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Tome & Principe

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Jun 6, 2024 2.00pm
Malawi 3 - 1 Sao Tome

Liberia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Jun 5, 2024 5.00pm
Namibia 1 - 1 Liberia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liberia win with a probability of 47.74%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 25.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liberia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.39%) and 1-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it was 1-0 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Liberia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Liberia.

Result

Sao Tome & Principe 25.33% (+0.05)
Draw 26.94% (-0.01)
Liberia 47.74% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.51% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.2% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 57.8% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 21.47% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 78.53% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 9.2% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 90.81% (-0.03)

Sao Tome & Principe Goals

Over 0.5 61.42% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 38.59% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 24.67% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 75.33% (-0.07)

Liberia Goals

Over 0.5 75.74% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 24.27% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 41.37% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 58.63% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Sao Tome & Principe 25.33%
Draw 26.94%
Liberia 47.74%
Sao Tome & Principe
1-0 @ 8.92% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 6.01% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.25% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.91% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.35% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.35% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 25.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.62%
0-0 @ 9.36% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.26% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 26.94%
Liberia
0-1 @ 13.26% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 9.39% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.94% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.43% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.22%
2-3 @ 2.01% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.57% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 47.74%