Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Togo win with a probability of 49.25%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Liberia had a probability of 22.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Togo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Liberia win it was 0-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.