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Africa Cup of Nations

Togo national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 6, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade de Kegue
Liberia national football team

Togo
1 - 1
Liberia

Denkey (79')
Dakonam (25')
FT(HT: 1-0)
W (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Togo and Liberia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Togo

All competitions
Last Game: Congo DR 1-0 Togo
Sunday, June 9 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Liberia

Last Game: Sao Tome 0-1 Liberia
Sunday, June 9 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Togo win with a probability of 49.25%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Liberia had a probability of 22.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Togo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Liberia win it was 0-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
TogoDrawLiberia
49.25% (0.213 0.21)27.83% (-0.143 -0.14)22.92% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 42.05% (0.283 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.6% (0.399 0.4)62.4% (-0.4 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.97% (0.29 0.29)82.03% (-0.292 -0.29)
Togo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (0.286 0.29)25.6% (-0.288 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.51% (0.388 0.39)60.49% (-0.39 -0.39)
Liberia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.52% (0.163 0.16)43.48% (-0.164 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.31% (0.137 0.14)79.69% (-0.139 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Togo 49.24%
    Liberia 22.92%
    Draw 27.83%
TogoDrawLiberia
1-0 @ 15.16% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 10.33% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.61% (0.051 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.69% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.91% (0.055 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.63% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 49.24%
1-1 @ 12.63% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 11.13% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 3.58% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 27.83%
0-1 @ 9.27% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-2 @ 5.26% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.86% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.46% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 1%
Total : 22.92%

How you voted: Togo vs Liberia

Togo
38.1%
Draw
28.6%
Liberia
33.3%
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