Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 13, 2024 at 4pm UK

Samuel Kanyon Doe Sports Complex

Liberia
1 - 0
Togo

Sangare (83' pen.)
Kumeh (71'), Pabai (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Dakonam (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Liberia and Togo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Liberia

Last Game: Liberia 1-2 Eq Guinea
Monday, October 14 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Togo

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Togo 0-1 Algeria
Monday, October 14 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Congo DR	3	3	7
2	Morocco	3	2	6
3	Ivory Coast	3	-1	2
4	Togo	3	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Togo win with a probability of 46.74%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Liberia had a probability of 26.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Togo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.01%) and 1-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Liberia win it was 1-0 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Liberia	Draw	Togo
26.42% ( 0.18)	26.84% ( 0.43)	46.74% ( -0.61)

Both teams to score 47.67% (

-1.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.26% (

-1.46)

56.74% (

1.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.31% (

-1.19)

77.69% (

1.19)

Liberia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.95% (

-0.65)

37.04% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.17% (

-0.65)

73.83% (

0.65)

Togo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.72% (

-0.92)

24.27% (

0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.36% (

-1.33)

58.64% (

1.33)

Score Analysis

Liberia 26.43%

Togo 46.74%

Draw 26.83%

Liberia	Draw	Togo
1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.77% Total : 26.43%	1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.49) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.76% Total : 26.83%	0-1 @ 12.73% ( 0.37) 0-2 @ 9.01% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.95% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 4.22% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.47% Total : 46.74%