Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 9, 2024 at 4pm UK

Nuevo Estadio de Malabo

Eq Guinea
2 - 2
Togo

Nlavo (17'), Buyla (75')
Nlavo (28')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Aholou (45'), Fo-Doh Laba (90+5')
Amenyido (24'), Klidje (82'), Fo-Doh Laba (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Equatorial Guinea and Togo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Equatorial Guinea

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Algeria 2-0 Eq Guinea
Thursday, September 5 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Togo

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Togo 1-1 Liberia
Friday, September 6 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Congo DR	3	3	7
2	Morocco	3	2	6
3	Ivory Coast	3	-1	2
4	Togo	3	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Togo win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Togo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.05%) and 1-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Equatorial Guinea win was 1-0 (11.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Equatorial Guinea	Draw	Togo
30.18% ( 0.38)	29.68% ( -0.09)	40.13% ( -0.3)

Both teams to score 42.15% (

0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.3% (

0.35)

64.7% (

-0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.31% (

0.24)

83.68% (

-0.25)

Equatorial Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.61% (

0.5)

38.38% (

-0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.86% (

0.48)

75.13% (

-0.48)

Togo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.4% (

31.59% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32% (

68% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Equatorial Guinea 30.18%

Togo 40.13%

Draw 29.67%

Equatorial Guinea	Draw	Togo
1-0 @ 11.61% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.05% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.61% Total : 30.18%	1-1 @ 13.37% 0-0 @ 12.12% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.67%	0-1 @ 13.97% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 8.05% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.71% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.93% Total : 40.13%