Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 14, 2024 at 5pm UK

Samuel Kanyon Doe Sports Complex

Liberia
1 - 2
Eq Guinea

Gibson (53')
Roosevelt Teah (33'), Balde (69')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Nlavo (20'), Junior Hanza Meha (90+4')
Akapo (41'), Bikoro (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Liberia and Equatorial Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Liberia

Last Game: Eq Guinea 1-0 Liberia
Friday, October 11 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Equatorial Guinea

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Eq Guinea 1-0 Liberia
Friday, October 11 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liberia win with a probability of 36.24%. A draw had a probability of 32.1% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 31.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liberia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.36%) and 2-1 (6.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.35%), while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 0-1 (13.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Liberia	Draw	Equatorial Guinea
36.24% ( 0.42)	32.05% ( 0.18)	31.71% ( -0.6)

Both teams to score 36.92% (

-0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

28.92% (

-0.52)

71.07% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

12.09% (

-0.33)

87.91% (

0.33)

Liberia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.44% (

-0.01)

37.56% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.66% (

-0.01)

74.34% (

0.01)

Equatorial Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.13% (

-0.77)

40.87% (

0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.56% (

-0.69)

77.44% (

0.69)

Score Analysis

Liberia 36.24%

Equatorial Guinea 31.7%

Draw 32.05%

Liberia	Draw	Equatorial Guinea
1-0 @ 15.03% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.75% Total : 36.24%	0-0 @ 15.35% ( 0.3) 1-1 @ 13.45% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.3% Total : 32.05%	0-1 @ 13.73% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.18% Total : 31.7%