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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fliblog.png)
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17'
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Ivan Salvador
34'
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Emmanuel Ernest
64'
Equatorial Guinea vs Liberia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Liberia had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest Liberia win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Equatorial Guinea in this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Equatorial Guinea Goals
Liberia Goals
Score analysis
2-0 @ 8.75% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.64% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.86% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 44.76%
0-0 @ 9.75% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.62%
1-2 @ 6.38% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 27.62%
