Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 14, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stade de Kegue

Togo
0 - 1
Algeria

Agbagno (56'), Atte (72')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bensebaini (18' pen.)
Ait-Nouri (56'), Guendouz (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Togo and Algeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Togo

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Algeria 5-1 Togo
Thursday, October 10 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Congo DR	3	3	7
2	Morocco	3	2	6
3	Ivory Coast	3	-1	2
4	Togo	3	-4	1

Algeria

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Algeria 5-1 Togo
Thursday, October 10 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Angola	3	3	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	-1	4
3	Mauritania	3	-1	3
4	Algeria	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for Togo had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Togo win was 1-0 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Algeria in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Algeria.

Result
Togo	Draw	Algeria
29.62% ( -0.04)	28.34% ( -0.02)	42.04% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 45.41% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.44% (

0.05)

60.56% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.34% (

0.04)

80.66% (

-0.04)

Togo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.46% (

-0)

36.54% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.67%

73.32% (

-0)

Algeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.55% (

0.06)

28.44% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.79% (

0.07)

64.2% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Togo 29.61%

Algeria 42.03%

Draw 28.34%

Togo	Draw	Algeria
1-0 @ 10.46% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.62% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.22% 3-0 @ 1.77% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 29.61%	1-1 @ 13.15% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.39% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( 0) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.34%	0-1 @ 13.06% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.21% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.66% Total : 42.03%