Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
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-
Said Benrahma
29'
-
Said Benrahma
55'
-
Houssem Aouar
68'
-
Amine Gouiri
86'
-
Hicham Boudaoui
90'+3'
-
Mohamed El Amine Amoura
90'+6'
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Thibault Klidje
11'
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Djene Dakonam
46'
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Wassiou Ouro-Gneni
53'
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Alaixys Romao
74'
Algeria vs Togo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 61.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Togo had a probability of 15.65%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.43%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Togo win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.
Result
Algeria
61.55%
▼
(-0.99)
Draw
22.79%
▲
(+0.44)
Togo
15.65%
▲
(+0.56)
Both Teams to Score:
44.41%
▼
(-0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
46.7%
▼
(-0.71)
Under 2.5
53.3%
▲
(+0.71)
Over 3.5
25.15%
▼
(-0.61)
Under 3.5
74.85%
▲
(+0.61)
Over 4.5
11.46%
▼
(-0.39)
Under 4.5
88.54%
▲
(+0.39)
Algeria Goals
Over 0.5
83.1%
▼
(-0.59)
Under 0.5
16.9%
▲
(+0.59)
Over 1.5
53.06%
▼
(-1.05)
Under 1.5
46.94%
▲
(+1.05)
Togo Goals
Over 0.5
53.44%
▲
(+0.35)
Under 0.5
46.56%
▼
(-0.35)
Over 1.5
17.84%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 1.5
82.15%
▼
(-0.27)
Score analysis
Algeria
61.54%
Draw
22.79%
Togo
15.65%
Algeria
1-0
@
13.98%
▲
(+0.12)
2-0 @ 12.43% ▼ (-0.15)
2-1 @ 9.51% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 7.37% ▼ (-0.24)
3-1 @ 5.63% ▼ (-0.13)
4-0 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.18)
4-1 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.03)
5-0 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 61.54%
2-0 @ 12.43% ▼ (-0.15)
2-1 @ 9.51% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 7.37% ▼ (-0.24)
3-1 @ 5.63% ▼ (-0.13)
4-0 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.18)
4-1 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.03)
5-0 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 61.54%
Draw
1-1
@
10.69%
▲
(+0.19)
0-0 @ 7.87% ▲ (+0.22)
2-2 @ 3.63% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 22.79%
0-0 @ 7.87% ▲ (+0.22)
2-2 @ 3.63% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 22.79%
Togo
0-1
@
6.01%
▲
(+0.23)
1-2 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.12)
0-2 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.11)
1-3 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 15.65%
1-2 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.12)
0-2 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.11)
1-3 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 15.65%