Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 10, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade du 19 Mai 1956

Algeria
5 - 1
Togo

Benrahma (29', 55' pen.), Aouar (68'), Gouiri (86'), El Amine Amoura (90+6')
Boudaoui (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Klidje (11')
Dakonam (46'), Ouro-Gneni (53'), Romao (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Algeria and Togo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Algeria

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Liberia 0-3 Algeria
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Angola	3	3	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	-1	4
3	Mauritania	3	-1	3
4	Algeria	3	-1	2

Togo

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Eq Guinea 2-2 Togo
Monday, September 9 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Congo DR	3	3	7
2	Morocco	3	2	6
3	Ivory Coast	3	-1	2
4	Togo	3	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 61.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Togo had a probability of 15.65%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.43%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Togo win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.

Result
Algeria	Draw	Togo
61.55% ( -0.98)	22.79% ( 0.43)	15.65% ( 0.55)

Both teams to score 44.41% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.7% (

-0.7)

53.3% (

0.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.15% (

-0.6)

74.85% (

0.6)

Algeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.1% (

-0.58)

16.9% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.06% (

-1.05)

46.94% (

1.05)

Togo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.44% (

0.35)

46.56% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.84% (

0.26)

82.15% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Algeria 61.54%

Togo 15.65%

Draw 22.79%

Algeria	Draw	Togo
1-0 @ 13.98% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 12.43% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.56% Total : 61.54%	1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.6% Total : 22.79%	0-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.29% Total : 15.65%