Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.85%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 39.7% ( | 24.42% ( | 35.87% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.76% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.97% ( | 43.03% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.57% ( | 65.43% ( |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.29% ( | 21.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.14% ( | 54.86% ( |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.33% ( | 23.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.22% ( | 57.78% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 1-0 @ 7.85% ( 2-0 @ 5.99% ( 3-1 @ 4.4% ( 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 3-0 @ 3.05% ( 4-1 @ 1.68% ( 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 4-0 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 2.55% Total : 39.7% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( 2-2 @ 6.22% ( 0-0 @ 5.14% ( 3-3 @ 1.52% ( Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.41% | 1-2 @ 8.15% ( 0-1 @ 7.4% ( 0-2 @ 5.33% ( 1-3 @ 3.91% ( 2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0-3 @ 2.56% ( 1-4 @ 1.41% ( 2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.11% Total : 35.88% |