Major League Soccer

Mar 2, 2025 at 12.30am UK

Subaru Park

Philadelphia
4 - 1
Cincinnati

Baribo (6', 6', 30', 30', 52', 52'), Damiani (90+3', 90+3')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Evander (58', 58')
Nwobodo (75'), Nwobodo (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Last Game: Orlando City 2-4 Philadelphia
Sunday, February 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Cincinnati 1-1 Motagua
Wednesday, February 26 at 11.30pm in CONCACAF Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 37.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.31%) and 0-2 (5.58%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	FC Cincinnati
37.64% ( -0.13)	24.13% ( -0.02)	38.23% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 61% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.52% (

0.09)

41.48% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.12% (

0.09)

63.88% (

-0.09)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.96% (

-0.03)

22.04% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.62% (

-0.04)

55.38% (

0.05)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.25% (

0.12)

21.75% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.07% (

0.17)

54.93% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 37.64%

FC Cincinnati 38.23%

Draw 24.13%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	FC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.76% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 37.64%	1-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.13%	1-2 @ 8.44% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.31% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.29% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 38.23%