FC Cincinnati
CONCACAF Champions League | First Round | 2nd Leg
Feb 26, 2025 at 11.30pm UK
Dr. DY Patil Stadium

Cincinnati
1 - 1
Motagua

Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League First Round clash between FC Cincinnati and Motagua.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, February 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Motagua 1-4 Cincinnati
Thursday, February 20 at 3am in CONCACAF Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 69.26%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Motagua had a probability of 12.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Motagua win it was 0-1 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawMotagua
69.26% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)18.23% (0.0040000000000013 0)12.51% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.62% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.4% (0.018000000000001 0.02)40.6% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.02% (0.016999999999996 0.02)62.98% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)10.62% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.55% (0.0039999999999907 0)34.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Motagua Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.64% (0.027999999999999 0.03)43.36% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.41% (0.024000000000001 0.02)79.59% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 69.24%
    Motagua 12.51%
    Draw 18.23%
FC CincinnatiDrawMotagua
2-0 @ 11.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 10.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 8.65% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 7.23% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 4.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 4.05%
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.0029999999999997 0)
5-0 @ 2.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-1 @ 1.82% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.69% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 69.24%
1-1 @ 8.63% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-0 @ 4.61% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 18.23%
0-1 @ 3.85%
1-2 @ 3.61% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-2 @ 1.61% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.01% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 12.51%

Head to Head
Feb 20, 2025 3am
First Round 1st Leg
Motagua
1-4
Cincinnati
Auzmendi (41')
Adonys Mejia Estrada (34'), Martinez (71')
Bucha (28', 77'), Denkey (49'), Evander (87')
Alberto Mejia Cruz (21'), Nwobodo (45+1'), Celentano (70')
rhs 2.0


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