Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 37.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 37.1% ( | 24.81% ( | 38.09% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.46% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.23% ( | 44.77% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.87% ( | 67.13% ( |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.19% ( | 23.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.03% ( | 57.97% ( |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.72% ( | 23.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.78% ( | 57.22% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 2-1 @ 8.32% ( 1-0 @ 7.96% ( 2-0 @ 5.71% ( 3-1 @ 3.98% ( 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 3-0 @ 2.73% ( 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 4-0 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.05% Total : 37.1% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( 2-2 @ 6.06% ( 0-0 @ 5.54% ( 3-3 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.81% | 1-2 @ 8.45% ( 0-1 @ 8.08% ( 0-2 @ 5.89% ( 1-3 @ 4.11% ( 2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0-3 @ 2.86% ( 1-4 @ 1.5% ( 2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0-4 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.16% Total : 38.09% |