Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 54.41%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 23.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 54.41% ( | 21.74% ( | 23.85% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.51% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.67% ( | 37.33% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.45% ( | 59.55% ( |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.22% ( | 13.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.92% ( | 41.08% ( |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.33% ( | 28.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.52% ( | 64.48% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 1-0 @ 7.83% ( 2-0 @ 7.76% ( 3-1 @ 6.41% ( 3-0 @ 5.13% ( 3-2 @ 4% ( 4-1 @ 3.17% ( 4-0 @ 2.54% ( 4-2 @ 1.98% ( 5-1 @ 1.26% ( 5-0 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 3.63% Total : 54.41% | 1-1 @ 9.78% ( 2-2 @ 6.06% ( 0-0 @ 3.95% ( 3-3 @ 1.67% ( Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.74% | 1-2 @ 6.11% ( 0-1 @ 4.93% ( 0-2 @ 3.08% ( 1-3 @ 2.55% ( 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0-3 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 3.37% Total : 23.85% |