MX23RW : Monday, May 12 03:57:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
May 10, 2025 at 8pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
Lille

Brest
2 - 0
Lille

Ajorque (42'), Doumbia (64')
Pereira Lage (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Meunier (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brest 1-0 Montpellier
Sunday, May 4 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-1 Marseille
Sunday, May 4 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Brest 1-2 Lille

With nothing tangible left to play for during the last two games of the campaign, Brest could be swept away by a Lille storm on Saturday afternoon. Les Dogues are desperately chasing down a Champions League spot and should possess enough motivation and quality to get the job done at Stade Francis-Le Ble. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Brest had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
BrestDrawLille
30.88% (0.058 0.06) 24.79% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 44.33% (-0.052 -0.05)
Both teams to score 56.84% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.85% (0.055 0.05)46.15% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.56% (0.052 0.05)68.45% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.84% (0.064999999999998 0.06)28.16% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.15% (0.081000000000003 0.08)63.85% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.12% (0.0019999999999953 0)20.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.41%53.59% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Brest 30.88%
    Lille 44.33%
    Draw 24.79%
BrestDrawLille
1-0 @ 7.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 7.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.12% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.99% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.99% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 30.88%
1-1 @ 11.67%
0-0 @ 5.88% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.79%
0-1 @ 9.21% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.14% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.21% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.77% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 3.77% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.02% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.87% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.48% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 44.33%

How you voted: Brest vs Lille

Brest
20.0%
Draw
17.1%
Lille
62.9%
35
Head to Head
Dec 6, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 14
Lille
3-1
Brest
David (7' pen., 69'), Arnar Haraldsson (44')
Andre (80')
Ajorque (48')
Le Cardinal (6')
Mar 17, 2024 12pm
Gameweek 26
Brest
1-1
Lille
Satriano (79')
Pereira Lage (27'), Lees-Melou (57'), Roy (64'), Locko (87')
David (67')
Oct 22, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 9
Lille
1-0
Brest
Yazici (6')
Andre (45+4'), Arnar Haraldsson (79')

Le Douaron (41'), Camblan (79'), Brahimi (84')
Feb 24, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 25
Lille
2-1
Brest
Diakite (60'), Alexsandro (80')
Djalo (8' og.)
Jan 11, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 18
Brest
0-0
Lille
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG33256289345581
2Marseille33195970452562
3MonacoMonaco33187863372661
4Nice33169860411957
5Lille33169850351557
6StrasbourgStrasbourg33169854411357
7Lyon331661163461754
8Brest33155135253-150
9Lens33147123839-149
10Auxerre33119134748-142
11Rennes33132184946341
12Toulouse33109144141039
13Angers33106173251-1936
14Reims3389163245-1333
15NantesNantes33712143652-1633
16Le HavreLe Havre3394203769-3231
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne3386193774-3730
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3344252376-5316


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