Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33

May 10, 2025 at 8pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Ble

Brest
2 - 0
Lille

Ajorque (42'), Doumbia (64')
Pereira Lage (70')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Meunier (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions

Last Game: Brest 1-0 Montpellier
Sunday, May 4 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Lille

All competitions

Last Game: Lille 1-1 Marseille
Sunday, May 4 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Brest had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Brest	Draw	Lille
30.88% ( 0.06)	24.79% ( -0)	44.33% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 56.84% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.85% (

0.05)

46.15% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.56% (

0.05)

68.45% (

-0.05)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.84% (

0.06)

28.16% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.15% (

0.08)

63.85% (

-0.08)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.12% (

20.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.41%

53.59% (

Score Analysis

Brest 30.88%

Lille 44.33%

Draw 24.79%

Brest	Draw	Lille
1-0 @ 7.45% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 30.88%	1-1 @ 11.67% 0-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.79%	0-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.14% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.21% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.77% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.87% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.48% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 44.33%