Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32

May 4, 2025 at 4.15pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Ble

Brest
1 - 0
Montpellier

Del Castillo (15')
Lees-Melou (73')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Nzingoula (13'), Fayad (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions

Last Game: Marseille 4-1 Brest
Sunday, April 27 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: Montpellier 0-0 Reims
Sunday, April 27 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 54.78%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 22.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brest in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Brest.

Result
Brest	Draw	Montpellier HSC
54.78% ( 0.05)	22.28% ( 0.02)	22.93% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 58.38% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.07% (

-0.15)

40.92% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.68% (

-0.15)

63.31% (

0.15)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.11% (

-0.03)

14.88% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.76% (

-0.07)

43.24% (

0.06)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.59% (

-0.14)

31.41% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.21% (

-0.16)

67.78% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Brest 54.78%

Montpellier HSC 22.93%

Draw 22.28%

Brest	Draw	Montpellier HSC
2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.24% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.97% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 54.78%	1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.28%	1-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.14% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 22.93%