/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmarlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fbrelog_1.png)
-
Amine Gouiri
8'
-
Mason Greenwood
37'
-
Michael Murillo
41'
-
Amine Gouiri
45'
-
Amine Gouiri
63'
-
Abdallah Sima
25'
-
Ludovic Ajorque
36'
-
Brendan Chardonnet
71'
-
Julien Le Cardinal
88'
-
Pierre Lees-Melou
90'+2'
Marseille vs Brest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F37%2Froberto-de-zerbi.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 66.88%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Brest had a probability of 15.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.34%) and 1-0 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Brest win it was 1-2 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result
Marseille
66.88%
▼
(-0.28)
Draw
18.12%
▲
(+0.11)
Brest
15.01%
▲
(+0.18)
Both Teams to Score:
58.38%
▲
(+0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5
65.96%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 2.5
34.04%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 3.5
44.08%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 3.5
55.91%
▲
(+0.14)
Over 4.5
25.51%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 4.5
74.48%
▲
(+0.11)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5
90.57%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 0.5
9.42%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 1.5
68.32%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 1.5
31.68%
▲
(+0.23)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5
64.45%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 0.5
35.55%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 1.5
27.69%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 1.5
72.31%
▼
(-0.16)
Score analysis
Marseille
66.88%
Draw
18.12%
Brest
15.01%
Marseille
2-1
@
9.66%
▲
(+0.02)
2-0 @ 9.34% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 7.91% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 7.61% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 7.36% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.94% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.03)
5-0 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.04)
5-2 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.62%
Total : 66.88%
2-0 @ 9.34% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 7.91% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 7.61% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 7.36% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.94% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.03)
5-0 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.04)
5-2 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.62%
Total : 66.88%
Draw
1-1
@
8.18%
▲
(+0.05)
2-2 @ 5% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 18.12%
2-2 @ 5% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 18.12%
Brest
1-2
@
4.23%
▲
(+0.05)
0-1 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 15.01%
0-1 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 15.01%
