Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32

May 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille
1 - 1
Marseille

Fernandez Pardo (74')
Ismaily (65'), Alexsandro (79')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gouiri (57')
Bennacer (29'), Garcia (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions

Last Game: Angers 0-2 Lille
Sunday, April 27 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Marseille

All competitions

Last Game: Marseille 4-1 Brest
Sunday, April 27 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 53.49%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 24.9% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.29%) and 1-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Lille	Draw	Marseille
53.49% ( 0.16)	21.61% ( -0.29)	24.9% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 63.24% (

1.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.4% (

1.54)

35.6% (

-1.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.34% (

1.68)

57.66% (

-1.68)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.53% (

0.58)

13.47% (

-0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.52% (

1.15)

40.48% (

-1.14)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.09% (

0.93)

26.92% (

-0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.76% (

1.2)

62.24% (

-1.2)

Score Analysis

Lille 53.49%

Marseille 24.9%

Draw 21.61%

Lille	Draw	Marseille
2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.25) 1-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.41) 3-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.12) 5-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.08) Other @ 3% Total : 53.49%	1-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.29) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.61%	1-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.01% Total : 24.9%