Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.81%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
Atletico San Luis	Draw	Toluca
33.09% ( 4.21)	23.95% ( 0.66)	42.95% ( -4.88)

Both teams to score 60.76% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.57% (

-1.11)

41.42% (

1.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.18% (

-1.13)

63.82% (

1.13)

Atletico San Luis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.51% (

2.08)

24.48% (

-2.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.06% (

2.85)

58.93% (

-2.85)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.46% (

-2.42)

19.53% (

2.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.56% (

-4.11)

51.43% (

4.1)

Score Analysis

Atletico San Luis 33.09%

Toluca 42.95%

Draw 23.94%

Atletico San Luis	Draw	Toluca
2-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.68) 1-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.7) 2-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.74) 3-1 @ 3.63% ( 0.51) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.21) 3-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.46) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.24) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.77% Total : 33.09%	1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.94%	1-2 @ 8.97% ( -0.42) 0-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.71) 1-3 @ 4.89% ( -0.64) 0-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.7) 2-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.23) 1-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.44) 0-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.42) 2-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.21) Other @ 3.18% Total : 42.95%