Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico San Luis win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico San Luis win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico San Luis would win this match.