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Nashville
Major League Soccer
Oct 21, 2023 at 11pm UK
First Tennessee Park
New York Red Bulls

Nashville
0 - 1
NY Red Bulls


Picault (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tolkin (90+4' pen.)
Reyes (39'), Amaya (45+1'), Nealis (45+6'), Duncan (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 3-2 New England
Sunday, October 15 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 3-0 Toronto
Sunday, October 8 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 1-3 New York Red Bulls

Given the stakes of Saturday's game, we expect New York Red Bulls to throw the kitchen sink in search of all three points at Geodis Park. The Red Bulls have enjoyed the better of this fixture and given their current run of form, we fancy them to extend their dominance over Nashville.

How to watch

You can watch Nashville SC vs. New York Red Bulls and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 50.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 23.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.

Result
Nashville SCDrawNew York Red Bulls
50.73% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04) 25.65% (0.0019999999999989 0) 23.62% (0.037000000000003 0.04)
Both teams to score 48.52% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.64% (0.015999999999998 0.02)54.36% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.26% (0.013999999999999 0.01)75.74% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.54% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)21.46% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.51% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)54.49% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.78% (0.043999999999997 0.04)38.21% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.02% (0.039999999999999 0.04)74.98% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 50.73%
    New York Red Bulls 23.62%
    Draw 25.65%
Nashville SCDrawNew York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 12.62% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.79% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 1.92% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 50.73%
1-1 @ 12.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.2% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.49% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 25.65%
0-1 @ 7.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 5.84% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.79% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.87% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.22% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 23.62%

How you voted: Nashville vs NY Red Bulls

Nashville SC
26.9%
Draw
26.9%
New York Red Bulls
46.2%
26
Head to Head
Nov 7, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 43
Nashville
1-1
NY Red Bulls
Williams (37')
Godoy (76')
Gomes (1')
Davis (14'), Diarra (86')
Jun 19, 2021 1am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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