Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8

Nov 29, 2023 at 6pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
1 - 1
Clermont

Savanier (87' pen.)
Der Zakarian (28'), Fayad (40'), Sainte-Luce (50'), Omeragic (90+4'), Esteve (90+8'), Leroy (90+7'), Leroy (90+8')
Der Zakarian (28'), Esteve (90+8')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gonalons (7')
Oumar Konate (8'), Caufriez (38'), Pelmard (74'), Keita (76'), Gonalons (90+8'), Caufriez (90+8')
Borges (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Clermont, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: Lorient 0-3 Montpellier
Sunday, October 1 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Clermont

All competitions

Last Game: Clermont 0-0 PSG
Saturday, September 30 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Montpellier HSC 2-1 Clermont

Montpellier HSC have made a solid start to the Ligue 1 season, while Clermont have looked very poor barring their last match against Paris Saint-Germain. As such, we expect MHSC to get their first home win of the season on the board this Sunday, consolidating their place in the top half of the Ligue 1 table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Clermont win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Clermont
42.08% ( 0.92)	26.1% ( -0.32)	31.81% ( -0.61)

Both teams to score 52.93% (

0.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.58% (

1.13)

51.42% (

-1.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.76% (

0.97)

73.23% (

-0.98)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.79% (

0.98)

24.2% (

-0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.46% (

1.37)

58.54% (

-1.37)

Clermont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.82% (

0.16)

30.17% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.67% (

0.19)

66.32% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 42.08%

Clermont 31.81%

Draw 26.1%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Clermont
1-0 @ 10.35% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.73% Total : 42.08%	1-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.1%	0-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.36) 1-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.2% Total : 31.81%