Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Aston Villa in this match.
Result | ||
Leicester City | Draw | Aston Villa |
41.8% ( -0.04) | 25.96% ( -0.01) | 32.24% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 53.54% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.3% ( 0.05) | 50.7% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.4% ( 0.04) | 72.6% ( -0.04) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.97% ( 0) | 24.03% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.71% | 58.29% |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.47% ( 0.06) | 29.53% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.45% ( 0.07) | 65.55% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Leicester City | Draw | Aston Villa |
1-0 @ 10.11% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.8% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 41.8% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 8.65% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 32.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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