Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27

Mar 31, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stade Oceane

Le Havre
0 - 2
Montpellier

Nego (31'), Casimir (70')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ferri (72'), Jullien (80')
Omeragic (70'), Sagnan (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Le Havre and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Havre

All competitions

Last Game: Clermont 2-1 Le Havre
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: Montpellier 2-6 PSG
Sunday, March 17 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

We said: Le Havre 1-0 Montpellier HSC

While the recent form table — Le Havre have three points from a possible 15 and Montpellier have seven in their last five games — indicates a positive outcome for the visitors on Sunday, a pitiful run of six losses in their previous eight road games means the hosts are backed for a marginal victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Le Havre	Draw	Montpellier HSC
38.31% ( -0.05)	25.66% ( -0.04)	36.03% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 55.38% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.31% (

0.17)

48.69% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.2% (

0.15)

70.8% (

-0.16)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.06% (

0.05)

24.94% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.43% (

0.07)

59.57% (

-0.08)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.78% (

0.13)

26.21% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.69% (

0.17)

61.31% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

Le Havre 38.31%

Montpellier HSC 36.03%

Draw 25.65%

Le Havre	Draw	Montpellier HSC
1-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.91% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.77% Total : 38.31%	1-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.65%	0-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.14% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.86% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.29% Total : 36.03%