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European Under-21s Championship | Group Stage
Jun 21, 2023 at 5pm UK
Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena
Portugal national football team

Georgia U21s
2 - 0
Portugal U21s

Gagua (37'), Sazonov (45+1')
Gagua (61'), Khvadagiani (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Araujo (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's European Under-21 Championship clash between Georgia Under-21s and Portugal Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Georgia U21s 2-1 Slovakia U21s
Thursday, November 12 at 10am in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Germany U21s 1-0 Portugal U21s
Sunday, June 6 at 8pm in European Under-21 Championship

We said: Georgia Under-21s 1-3 Portugal Under-21s

Portugal may be forced to navigate the Euros without their star man Vieira, but the Hopes have plenty of other prolific performers willing to make the net bulge against Georgia, who felt the full force of their visitors' potent frontline only nine months ago. With the home crowd behind them and senior legs - albeit tired ones - also in the ranks, Georgia can make one of their forays forward count, but the attacking power of Portugal should overwhelm Svanadze's team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal Under-21s win with a probability of 58.52%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Georgia Under-21s had a probability of 20.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.54%) and 0-1 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Georgia Under-21s win it was 2-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Georgia Under-21sDrawPortugal Under-21s
20.58% (-17.706 -17.71) 20.9% (0.336 0.34) 58.52% (17.371 17.37)
Both teams to score 59.78% (-15.469 -15.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.49% (-14.327 -14.33)37.51% (14.327 14.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.27% (-17.232 -17.23)59.73% (17.233 17.23)
Georgia Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.4% (-17.852 -17.85)31.6% (17.853 17.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32% (-26.983 -26.98)68% (26.983 26.98)
Portugal Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.4% (0.155 0.16)12.6% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.29% (0.32 0.32)38.71% (-0.32 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Georgia Under-21s 20.58%
    Portugal Under-21s 58.52%
    Draw 20.9%
Georgia Under-21sDrawPortugal Under-21s
2-1 @ 5.47% (-1.636 -1.64)
1-0 @ 4.59% (1.108 1.11)
2-0 @ 2.64% (-0.81 -0.81)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-2.665 -2.67)
3-1 @ 2.1% (-2.601 -2.6)
3-0 @ 1.02% (-1.269 -1.27)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 20.58%
1-1 @ 9.5% (2.337 2.34)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-1.651 -1.65)
0-0 @ 3.98% (2.229 2.23)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-1.821 -1.82)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 20.9%
1-2 @ 9.84% (2.465 2.47)
0-2 @ 8.54% (4.825 4.83)
0-1 @ 8.25% (4.638 4.64)
1-3 @ 6.8% (1.732 1.73)
0-3 @ 5.9% (3.346 3.35)
2-3 @ 3.91% (-1.11 -1.11)
1-4 @ 3.52% (0.912 0.91)
0-4 @ 3.05% (1.741 1.74)
2-4 @ 2.03% (-0.559 -0.56)
1-5 @ 1.46% (0.385 0.39)
0-5 @ 1.27% (0.724 0.72)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 58.52%

How you voted: Georgia U21s vs Portugal U21s

Georgia Under-21s
14.7%
Draw
11.8%
Portugal Under-21s
73.5%
34
rhs 2.0
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3Liverpool35229477364175
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5Tottenham HotspurSpurs341861067541360
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10Bournemouth35139135260-848
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12Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341111125257-544
13Fulham35127165155-443
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton35128153748-1136
16Brentford3598185260-835
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RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd3537253497-6316


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