European Under-21s Championship | Final
Jun 6, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stadion Stožice
Portugal national football team

Germany U21s
1 - 0
Portugal U21s

Nmecha (49')
Wirtz (12'), Nmecha (43'), Raum (90'), Ozcan (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Braganca (58'), Jota (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's European Under-21 Championship final between Germany Under-21s and Portugal Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal Under-21s win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Germany Under-21s had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal Under-21s win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Germany Under-21s win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Germany Under-21sDrawPortugal Under-21s
32.05%25.13%42.81%
Both teams to score 56.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.81%47.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.57%69.42%
Germany Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.08%27.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.47%63.53%
Portugal Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.98%22.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.67%55.33%
Score Analysis
    Germany Under-21s 32.05%
    Portugal Under-21s 42.81%
    Draw 25.12%
Germany Under-21sDrawPortugal Under-21s
1-0 @ 7.84%
2-1 @ 7.57%
2-0 @ 5%
3-1 @ 3.22%
3-2 @ 2.44%
3-0 @ 2.13%
4-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 32.05%
1-1 @ 11.86%
0-0 @ 6.14%
2-2 @ 5.73%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 9.3%
1-2 @ 8.98%
0-2 @ 7.04%
1-3 @ 4.53%
0-3 @ 3.55%
2-3 @ 2.89%
1-4 @ 1.72%
0-4 @ 1.34%
2-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 42.81%

How you voted: Germany U21s vs Portugal U21s

Germany Under-21s
34.4%
Draw
17.7%
Portugal Under-21s
47.9%
96