Spain U21s
0 - 1
Portugal U21s

Diaz (57')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Cuenca (80' og.)
Leao (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's European Under-21 Championship clash between Spain Under-21s and Portugal Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Under-21s win with a probability of 40%. A win for Portugal Under-21s had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Portugal Under-21s win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Spain Under-21s	Draw	Portugal Under-21s
40%	24.98%	35.02%

Both teams to score 57.62%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.25%

45.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.94%

68.06%

Spain Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.25%

22.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.57%

56.43%

Portugal Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.59%

25.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.78%

60.22%

Score Analysis

Spain Under-21s 40%

Portugal Under-21s 35.02%

Draw 24.97%

Spain Under-21s	Draw	Portugal Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.68% 1-0 @ 8.56% 2-0 @ 6.34% 3-1 @ 4.29% 3-0 @ 3.13% 3-2 @ 2.94% 4-1 @ 1.59% 4-0 @ 1.16% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.25% Total : 40%	1-1 @ 11.72% 2-2 @ 5.95% 0-0 @ 5.78% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.97%	1-2 @ 8.03% 0-1 @ 7.92% 0-2 @ 5.43% 1-3 @ 3.67% 2-3 @ 2.72% 0-3 @ 2.48% 1-4 @ 1.26% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.02%