Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Group Stage clash between Spain Under-21s and Italy Under-21s.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Under-21s win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Italy Under-21s had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Italy Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spain Under-21s | Draw | Italy Under-21s |
| 43.95% | 23.94% | 32.11% |
| Both teams to score 60.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.3% | 41.7% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.89% | 64.1% |
| Spain Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.78% | 19.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.08% | 50.91% |
| Italy Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.8% | 25.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.06% | 59.93% |
| Score Analysis |
Spain Under-21s 43.95%
Italy Under-21s 32.11%
Draw 23.93%
| Spain Under-21s | Draw | Italy Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.08% 1-0 @ 7.99% 2-0 @ 6.59% 3-1 @ 4.99% 3-0 @ 3.62% 3-2 @ 3.44% 4-1 @ 2.06% 4-0 @ 1.49% 4-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.27% Total : 43.95% | 1-1 @ 11% 2-2 @ 6.26% 0-0 @ 4.84% 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.93% | 1-2 @ 7.59% 0-1 @ 6.68% 0-2 @ 4.6% 1-3 @ 3.49% 2-3 @ 2.88% 0-3 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 1.2% 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.58% Total : 32.11% |


