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Spain national football team
European Under-21s Championship | Group Stage
Mar 27, 2021 at 8pm UK
 

Spain U21s
0 - 0
Italy U21s


Guillamon (16'), Villar (45'), Zubimendi (76')
Mingueza (87')
FT

Frabotta (24'), Pobega (35'), Del Prato (51'), Rovella (69'), Scamacca (82'), Raspadori (90+5')
Scamacca (86'), Rovella (87')
Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Group Stage clash between Spain Under-21s and Italy Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Under-21s win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Italy Under-21s had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Italy Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Spain Under-21sDrawItaly Under-21s
43.95%23.94%32.11%
Both teams to score 60.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.3%41.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.89%64.1%
Spain Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.78%19.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.08%50.91%
Italy Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.8%25.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.06%59.93%
Score Analysis
    Spain Under-21s 43.95%
    Italy Under-21s 32.11%
    Draw 23.93%
Spain Under-21sDrawItaly Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.08%
1-0 @ 7.99%
2-0 @ 6.59%
3-1 @ 4.99%
3-0 @ 3.62%
3-2 @ 3.44%
4-1 @ 2.06%
4-0 @ 1.49%
4-2 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 43.95%
1-1 @ 11%
2-2 @ 6.26%
0-0 @ 4.84%
3-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.93%
1-2 @ 7.59%
0-1 @ 6.68%
0-2 @ 4.6%
1-3 @ 3.49%
2-3 @ 2.88%
0-3 @ 2.11%
1-4 @ 1.2%
2-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 32.11%

Head to Head
Jun 16, 2019 8pm
Group Stage
Italy U21s
3-1
Spain U21s
Chiesa (36', 64'), Pellegrini (82' pen.)
Calabresi (11'), Zaniolo (25'), Mandragora (49'), Orsolini (70')
Ceballos (9')
Vallejo (24'), Soler (82')
Jun 27, 2017 8pm
Semi-Finals
Spain U21s
3-1
Italy U21s
Niguez (53', 65', 74')
Bernardeschi (62')
Benassi (45'), Gagliardini (50'), Calabria (56'), Cerri (77')
Gagliardini (58')
Mar 27, 2017 8pm
U21 Friendlies
Italy U21s
1-2
Spain U21s
Pellegrini (72')
Ferrari (42'), Berardi (74')
Niguez (34'), Mayoral (38')
Jonny (71')
rhs 2.0
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