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St Johnstone logo
Falkirk
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 36
May 2, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Falkirk Community Stadium
Hamilton logo

Falkirk
3 - 1
Hamilton

Ross (34', 59'), Miller (71')
Spencer (25'), Miller (72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Robinson (5')
Barjonas (52'), Todorov (56'), MacDonald (75')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Falkirk and Hamilton Academical.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Partick 2-1 Falkirk
Friday, April 25 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Hamilton 0-3 Livingston
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 71.06%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 11.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.14%), while for a Hamilton Academical win it was 0-1 (3.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.

Result
FalkirkDrawHamilton Academical
71.06% (0.196 0.2)17.27% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)11.67% (-0.144 -0.14)
Both teams to score 51.29% (-0.303 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.66% (-0.148 -0.15)38.34% (0.148 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.38% (-0.159 -0.16)60.62% (0.157 0.16)
Falkirk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.42% (0.007000000000005 0.01)9.57% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.96% (0.018000000000001 0.02)32.04% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.72% (-0.341 -0.34)43.28% (0.34 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.47% (-0.287 -0.29)79.53% (0.286 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Falkirk 71.06%
    Hamilton Academical 11.67%
    Draw 17.27%
FalkirkDrawHamilton Academical
2-0 @ 11.4% (0.09 0.09)
1-0 @ 9.72% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 8.92% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 7.47% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.23% (0.044 0.04)
4-1 @ 4.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-0 @ 2.45% (0.021 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.83% (-0.019 -0.02)
6-0 @ 0.96% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 71.06%
1-1 @ 8.14% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.14% (0.029 0.03)
2-2 @ 4% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 17.27%
0-1 @ 3.47% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.41% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-2 @ 1.45% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 0.95% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 11.67%

Head to Head
Mar 1, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 27
Hamilton
2-2
Falkirk
Tumilty (37'), McKinstry (45')
Bradley (50'), MacDonald (60')
Henderson (22'), Agyeman (90+2')
Arfield (65')
Dec 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 18
Falkirk
1-0
Hamilton
Morrison (80')

Hendrie (31'), Smith (74'), Barjonas (78'), Todorov (90+2'), Todorov (90+2')
Oct 18, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Hamilton
1-3
Falkirk
Henderson (47')
Longridge (25'), Maguire (32'), Tumilty (51'), Kilday (69'), Williamson (70'), Martin (76'), Smith (80')
Maguire (5' og.), Miller (29'), Spencer (34')
Nesbitt (75'), Spencer (76'), Shanley (89')
Apr 13, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 33
Hamilton
0-2
Falkirk

Williamson (27'), McGowan (84')
Maciver (50'), Nesbitt (87')
Spencer (46'), Tait (51')
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 25
Falkirk
3-2
Hamilton
Morrison (15'), Maciver (23'), Miller (27')
Rose (32', 57')
Davidson (20'), McGowan (49'), MacDonald (90+3')
rhs 2.0


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