Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 71.06%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 11.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.14%), while for a Hamilton Academical win it was 0-1 (3.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.