Friendlies 1

Sep 12, 2023 at 6pm UK

Cairo International Stadium

Egypt
1 - 3
Tunisia

Kamal (34')
Marmoush (43'), Ramadan (70'), Adel (85'), Mohamed (88')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Laidouni (3'), Fathi (8' og.), Rafia (90+5')
Laidouni (43'), Meriah (45+5'), Dahmen (90+3')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Egypt and Tunisia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Egypt

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Egypt 1-0 Ethiopia
Friday, September 8 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	5	9
2	Egypt	3	1	6
3	Sudan	3	-3	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-3	1

Tunisia

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Tunisia 3-0 Botswana
Thursday, September 7 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	3	3	6
2	Australia	3	-1	6
3	Tunisia	3	0	4
4	Denmark	3	-2	1

We said: Egypt 2-1 Tunisia

Both sides are closely matched, but Salah's return to the side should give Egypt the edge against Tunisia in Cairo. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 69.46%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Tunisia had a probability of 10.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.6%) and 3-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Tunisia win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Egypt	Draw	Tunisia
69.46% ( 0.08)	19.86% ( -0.05)	10.67% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 39.62% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.81% (

0.09)

52.18% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.1% (

0.08)

73.9% (

-0.08)

Egypt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.04% (

0.05)

13.96% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.56% (

0.1)

41.44% (

-0.11)

Tunisia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.05% (

-0.01)

53.95% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.76% (

-0)

87.24% (

Score Analysis

Egypt 69.46%

Tunisia 10.67%

Draw 19.86%

Egypt	Draw	Tunisia
1-0 @ 14.82% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 14.6% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 69.46%	1-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 2.78% ( -0) Other @ 0.41% Total : 19.86%	0-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.77% Total : 10.67%