Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 65.03%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 15.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 1-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Charlotte FC | Draw | Toronto |
65.03% ( -0.55) | 19.08% ( 0.06) | 15.89% ( 0.5) |
Both teams to score 56.95% ( 1.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.11% ( 0.79) | 36.89% ( -0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.93% ( 0.85) | 59.07% ( -0.84) |
Charlotte FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.34% ( 0.09) | 10.66% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.48% ( 0.19) | 34.52% ( -0.18) |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.74% ( 1.13) | 36.26% ( -1.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.96% ( 1.13) | 73.04% ( -1.12) |
Score Analysis |
Charlotte FC | Draw | Toronto |
2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.69% ( -0.31) 1-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.3) 3-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.78% Total : 65.03% | 1-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.08% | 1-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.33% Total : 15.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 31 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 30 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 23 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
5 | Toronto | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 21 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 21 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 17 |
9 | DC United | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Orlando City | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
11 | Nashville SCNashville | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 28 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
4 | Austin FCAustin | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 21 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 21 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 18 |
9 | St Louis City | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Dallas | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 10 |