Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 34
Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
We said: Aberdeen 2-1 Motherwell
Despite their recent improvements on the road, Motherwell have their work cut out as they take on an Aberdeen side whom they have failed to get the better of since August 2022. Aberdeen's home advantage gives them a slight edge here and we fancy them to come away with a narrow victory.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 45.83% . A win for Motherwell had a probability of 29.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.8% .
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.61%) . The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (7.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%) . The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aberdeen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Aberdeen.
Result Aberdeen Draw Motherwell 45.83% ( -0.1) 24.79% ( 0.02) 29.37% ( 0.09)
Both teams to score 56% ( -0.02)
53.13% ( -0.05) 46.86% ( 0.05)
30.88% ( -0.04) 69.12% ( 0.05)
79.49% ( -0.06) 20.51% ( 0.07)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 46.99% ( -0.1) 53% ( 0.1)
70.45% ( 0.03) 29.55% ( -0.03)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 34.43% ( 0.04) 65.57% ( -0.04)
Aberdeen 45.84%
Motherwell 29.37%
Draw 24.78%
Aberdeen Draw Motherwell 1-0 @ 9.6% 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 45.84% 1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.78% 0-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.32% Total : 29.37%
How you voted: Aberdeen vs Motherwell
6
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-17 05:01:09
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